Get
Shorty
The
Mexican Marines arrested “El Chapo” (Shorty) Guzman, reputed head of the
Sinaloa drug cartel, and the DEA has been crowing like a rooster greeting an
Alaskan spring dawn after a six-month sunless winter. If the press is to be believed, Guzman certainly
is a cold, violent, deadly career criminal who has earned a life-long tenancy
in a federal Super-Max prison. But there
is much less about his capture than meets the eye. It does not merit the gleeful celebrations of
the Drug War bureaucrats.
Getting
Shorty (I don’t call it an arrest because this military raid has little, if
anything, to do with proper police procedure) fails to give cause for
celebration for two reasons. The minor
one is its cost. This kind of multi-national
military and police operation extending over several days or weeks and
involving two cities has to have cost several million dollars to plan and
execute. The other large cost,
potentially much more serious, was only a probability that happily did not
occur. An large-scale armed raid on a
man known to surround himself with professional killers was likely to end in a
storm of gunfire. To stage one in the
middle of a large city whose streets teem with people around the clock was to
invite injury or death to multitudes of innocent bystanders. Do we really want scenes like those from the
streets of Damascus staged in our cities?
By sheer luck, this incipient battle ended bloodlessly – this time.
The
major shortcoming of the Get Shorty caper is that it did nothing to further the
stated goals of the War on Drugs. One
way or another, the Cartels will continue their businesses. One of El Chapo’s underlings will step in, or
Sinaloa will split into separate parts each carrying on the trade. The worst outcome would be for warfare to
break out again among all the rival groups sensing a weakness in Guzman’s
group. That kind of warfare would
increase the bloodshed in Mexico and possibly in Chicago. And since wars cost money, the rivals would
feel pressure to increase the volume of their sales. The ascendancy of the Cali Cartel to control
over Colombia’s cocaine trade after the killing of Pablo Escobar is a good
precedent. The Mexican cartels have much
deeper and stronger roots than did the Colombian ones. Some of the Mexican gangs have been in
continuous operation since the days they were smuggling alcohol across the
border in the 1920s.
While
the marines and DEA were staging their circus act in Mazatlán, Colorado and
Washington were quietly attacking the Cartels in the way that does the most
damage: by legalizing the production and
sale of marijuana they are working to cut off the flow of money that is both
the reason for the Cartels’ existence and the fuel that allows them to
function. Legitimizing the product
removes the high contraband premium adds to the price of marijuana, probably
dropping the price by at least ninety percent, and it also prevents the police
agencies from enforcing and protecting the Cartel monopoly. Guzman’s group can in no way compete with
honest farmers.
Classical
mythology tells of the Hydra, a hideous flesh-eating monster. Hydra was thought to be invincible because
when its head was cut off, it immediately grew two more. Heracles solved the problem by ignoring the
threatening heads and going straight for its heart, killing the Hydra with a
single sword thrust. By going after
Guzman, the DEA is merely hacking at the Hydra’s head: legalization, by
stemming the life-blood flow of money, is thrusting into the monster’s
heart. The time has come to quit
flailing around blindly and to start cutting surgically by removing the
Prohibition heart of the monster.
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